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Buying to profit from an
expected rise in the index (Going Long)
Someone expecting the
level of a particular index to rise over a given period of time can seek
to profit by buying indices contracts. If correct in forecasting the
direction and timing of the change in level, the futures contract can
later be sold at the higher level, thereby yielding a profit. If the
index level declines rather than rises, the trade will result in a loss.
Because of leverage, the gain or loss may be greater than the initial
margin deposit. |
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For example, assume it is
now January, the March Mini NASDAQ 100 futures contract is presently
quoted at 1480, and over the coming months you expect the index to rise.
You decide to buy a contract by putting a margin (deposit) of
US$2000.Further assume that by February |
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the March NASDAQ Futures
Index has risen to 1550 and you decide to take your profit by selling.
Since each contract is US$20 times NASDAQ Index , the 70 index points
profit would be $20 x 70 i.e. US$1400 . Suppose however, that rather
than rising to 1550, the March NASDAQ had declined to 1390 and that, in
order to avoid the possibility of further loss, you elect to sell the
contract at that price. On $20 x NASDAQ index, the 90 points loss would
thus come to US$1800. |
Selling to profit from an expected
decline in the index (Going Short)
Going short is, instead of buying
a futures contract, you first sell a futures contract at a certain level in the
hope that you will buy another contract at a later stage at a lower level thus
realizing profit (or loss in case prices move in the other direction).
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For example, assume that
in January you have indications that the Mini Dow Jones 30 Futures Index
will fall over the next several months. In the hope of profiting you
sell one contract of March Mini Dow Jones at a level of , say 10500. If
by March , the level has declined to 10100, an offsetting
futures contract can
be |
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purchased at this level,
realizing a gain of 400 index points making a total profit of $2000 (
400 index points x $5).A loss would be realized if the level has moved
in the opposite direction. |
Forex Trading Model
Trading Futures
Trading
Precious Metals |